← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Özkahya
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Gaziantep win | 29% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Gaziantep +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Caleb Ekuban · Trabzonspor |
| 26' | 🟨 | José Sosa · Trabzonspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | John Mikel Obi · Trabzonspor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Olarenwaju Kayode · Gaziantep |
| 56' | 🟨 | Manuel Da Costa · Trabzonspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Gaziantep |
| 87' | 🟨 | Guilherme · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdülkadir Ömür · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 523.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1481.57 | 1679.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.56 | 35.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 34.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 28.48 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.35 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |