← Süper Lig 2019 · Mon, Mar 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Kalkavan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Kayserispor win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Artem Kravets · Kayserispor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 55' | 🟨 | Diego Angelo · Kayserispor |
| 70' | ⚽ | Muris Mešanovič · Kayserispor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aksel Aktaş · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 1.00 | 395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1407.18 | 1557.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.24 | 38.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 67.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 9.25 | 9.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.25 | 29.54 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |