← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Mar 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Ankaragücü win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ankaragücü +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Miloš Stanojević · Ankaragücü |
| 36' | 🟨 | Miloš Stanojević · Ankaragücü |
| 36' | 🟥 | Miloš Stanojević · Ankaragücü |
| 56' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Sivasspor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 74' | ⚽ | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Sivasspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 121.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1436.81 | 1647.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.64 | -25.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.65 |
| league points | 25.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 28.85 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.39 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |