← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Feb 16, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 17% | 5.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alanyaspor −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Genclerbirligi |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Kaan Kanak · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | ⚽ | Bogdan Stancu · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Nordfeldt · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 260.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1632.08 | 1479.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.62 | -26.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 46.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.75 | 30.09 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |