← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Kalkavan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.16 |
| Ankaragücü win | 13% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +1.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ankaragücü +1.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Saba Lobjanidze · Ankaragücü |
| 40' | 🟨 | Mauricio Isla · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | ⚽ | Gerson Rodrigues · Ankaragücü |
| 85' | 🟨 | Luiz Gustavo · Fenerbahce |
| 89' | 🟨 | İlhan Parlak · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | ⚽ | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 106.00 | 441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1428.16 | 1705.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.51 | 22.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 63.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 1.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.04 | 28.30 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |