← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Alanyaspor win | 22% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fenerbahce −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 27' | 🟨 | Altay Bayındır · Fenerbahce |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 32' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Alanyaspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Marafona · Alanyaspor |
| 51' | 🟨 | Manolis Siopis · Alanyaspor |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Max Kruse · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jailson · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 434.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1709.81 | 1628.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.65 | 35.29 |
| eye test v1 | 1.22 | 1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 28.47 | 29.11 |
| state index | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |