← Süper Lig 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Aydınus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Ankaragücü win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ankaragücü −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟥 | Mustafa Akbaş · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Dever Orgill · Ankaragücü |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ahmed Ildız · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Atila Turan · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 37.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1556.92 | 1412.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.98 | -8.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| league points | 29.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.17 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.64 | 30.49 |
| state index | -0.79 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |