← Süper Lig 2019 · Mon, Feb 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Öğretmenoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Denizlispor win | 29% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Denizlispor +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 39' | 🟨 | Lamine Gassama · Goztep |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ismail Aissati · Denizlispor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Cameron Jerome · Goztep |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
| 86' | ⚽ | Óscar Estupiñán · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hüseyin Altıntaş · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Beto · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 2.00 | 367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1463.52 | 1546.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.35 | 50.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 26.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 8.27 | 8.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.87 | 29.87 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |