← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Jan 26, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Antalyaspor win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Denizlispor −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Bünyamin Balcı · Antalyaspor |
| 12' | 🟨 | Ogenyi Onazi · Denizlispor |
| 18' | 🟨 | Paul Omo Mukairu · Antalyaspor |
| 26' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Antalyaspor |
| 40' | ⚽ | Paul Omo Mukairu · Antalyaspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Gustavo Blanco · Antalyaspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 117.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1487.66 | 1408.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.35 | -23.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.51 |
| league points | 26.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.33 | 29.33 |
| state index | -0.72 | -1.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |