← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jan 25, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: C. Çakιr
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Ankaragücü win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Ankaragücü |
| 29' | 🟨 | Sedat Ağçay · Ankaragücü |
| 33' | 🟨 | Héctor Canteros · Ankaragücü |
| 45' | 🟨 | Emre Demir · Kayserispor |
| 48' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 48' | 🟥 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gustavo Campanharo · Kayserispor |
| 68' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| 76' | 🟨 | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Rienstra · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alihan Kubalas · Ankaragücü |
| coach days | 55.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1402.08 | 1412.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.24 | 9.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| league points | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.52 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 31.39 |
| state index | -1.50 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |