← Süper Lig 2019 · Mon, Dec 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Göçek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Denizlispor win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Alanyaspor +0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 42' | ⚽ | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabrice N'Sakala · Alanyaspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Denizlispor |
| 78' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Óscar Estupiñán · Denizlispor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Onur Bulut · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 83.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1513.87 | 1574.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.88 | -21.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 2.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 25.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 29.54 | 29.74 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |