← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Dec 22, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: H. Özkahya
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 32% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Marcelo Goiano · Sivasspor |
| 24' | ⚽ | Arouna Koné · Sivasspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Caner Osmanpaşa · Sivasspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Bogdan Stancu · Genclerbirligi |
| 58' | ⚽ | Floyd Ayité · Genclerbirligi |
| 78' | 🟨 | Fabricio Baiano · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bogdan Stancu · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Berat Ayberk Özdemir · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 82.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1512.04 | 1666.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.70 | 56.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | 1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| league points | 21.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 30.05 | 28.62 |
| state index | 0.29 | 1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -1.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |