← Süper Lig 2019 · Mon, Dec 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Özkahya
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.03 |
| Denizlispor win | 14% | 7.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (og) | Oğuz Yılmaz · Trabzonspor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 82' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 563.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1623.15 | 1499.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.85 | 30.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 8.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 23.25 | 29.33 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |