← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Dec 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Palabıyık
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 37% | 2.58 |
| Sivasspor win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sivasspor +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Mauricio Isla · Fenerbahce |
| 32' | ⚽ | Fernando Andrade · Sivasspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fatih Aksoy · Sivasspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Sivasspor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Emre Kılınç · Sivasspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 85' | ⚽ | Deniz Türüç · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Garry Rodrigues · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 197.00 | 379.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1652.86 | 1678.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.45 | 7.79 |
| eye test v1 | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 2.00 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 34.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 28.77 | 28.40 |
| state index | 1.47 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.42 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |