← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Dec 7, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Kalkavan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ankaragücü win | 26% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Halil Akbunar · Goztep |
| 31' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Ankaragücü |
| 38' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 47' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cameron Jerome · Goztep |
| 58' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 76' | 🟨 | Hasan Kaya · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alper Onal · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 36.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1417.55 | 1494.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.08 | 15.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.04 | 29.47 |
| state index | -1.32 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |