← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Dec 1, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Denizlispor win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Denizlispor −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Hadi Sacko · Denizlispor |
| 19' | 🟨 | Furkan Soyalp · Gaziantep |
| 54' | ⚽ | Olarenwaju Kayode · Gaziantep |
| 58' | ⚽ | Hadi Sacko · Denizlispor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ismail Aissati · Denizlispor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Zakarya Bergdich · Denizlispor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Oğuz Ceylan · Gaziantep |
| 83' | 🟨 | Modou Barrow · Denizlispor |
| 85' | ⚽ | Hadi Sacko · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 426.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1434.13 | 1479.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.34 | 9.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 30.85 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |