← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Ulusoy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 70% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.70 |
| Ankaragücü win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −1.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Ankaragücü −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 24' | ⚽ | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 85' | ⚽ | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dever Orgill · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | ⚽ | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 12 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| coach days | 182.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1580.81 | 1426.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.52 | -39.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.27 | 31.25 |
| state index | -0.07 | -1.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |