← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Nov 3, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Sivasspor win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sivasspor +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.94 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Marcelo Goiano · Sivasspor |
| 40' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Denizlispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tolgahan Acar · Denizlispor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Arouna Koné · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 33.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1482.06 | 1586.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.06 | 5.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.11 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.33 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.20 | 28.76 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |