← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Oct 27, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Özkahya
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 57% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 |
| Denizlispor win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Denizlispor −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Olcay Şahan · Denizlispor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Giovanni Sio · Genclerbirligi |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1488.78 | 1463.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.18 | -41.64 |
| eye test v1 | 1.09 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 62.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.38 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 30.14 | 29.50 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |