← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Oct 20, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Aydınus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.89 |
| Denizlispor win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Denizlispor +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Denizlispor |
| 39' | ⚽ | Tolga Ciğerci · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ismail Aissati · Denizlispor |
| 62' | ⚽ | Vedat Muriqi · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | ⚽ | Óscar Estupiñán · Denizlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 19.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1469.76 | 1663.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.82 | -23.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.43 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 65.60 |
| rest days | 15.94 | 15.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 11.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 19.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 1.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.71 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.94 | 28.67 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |