← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Oct 6, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.96 |
| Ankaragücü win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ankaragücü −1.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Dever Orgill · Ankaragücü |
| 21' | 🟨 | Hasan Kaya · Ankaragücü |
| 26' | ⚽ | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Sivasspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Aaron Appindangoyé · Sivasspor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Sivasspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marcelo Goiano · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 127.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1582.79 | 1470.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.32 | 10.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.85 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -11.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.54 | 31.33 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |