← Süper Lig 2019 · Fri, Oct 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Birincioğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Denizlispor win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor −0.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Denizlispor −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
| 27' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Denizlispor |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Denizlispor |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Adis Jahović · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 34' | ⚽ | Mitchell Donald · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Sakıb Aytaç · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Adis Jahović · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Olcay Şahan · Denizlispor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 69' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| Adis Jahović · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Adam Stachowiak · Denizlispor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ghailene Chaalali · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 125.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1564.94 | 1481.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.64 | -33.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.88 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 5.17 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | — |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.28 | 29.69 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |