← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Sep 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 83% | 1.16 |
| Draw | 11% | 9.16 |
| Ankaragücü win | 6% | 19.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −2.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ankaragücü −2.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 73% | 1.31 |
| Under | 27% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Dever Orgill · Ankaragücü |
| 20' | ⚽ | Zanka · Fenerbahce |
| 24' | 🟨 | Dever Orgill · Ankaragücü |
| 25' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 44' | 🟨 | Héctor Canteros · Ankaragücü |
| 62' | 🟨 | Luiz Gustavo · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | ⚽ | Vedat Muriqi · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | 🟨 | Zanka · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 30 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 294.00 | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1670.51 | 1466.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.27 | 9.25 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 2.12 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 31.55 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |