← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Aug 17, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Şimşek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Rizespor win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Rizespor −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Flávio Ramos · Genclerbirligi |
| 39' | 🟨 | Flávio Ramos · Genclerbirligi |
| 39' | 🟥 | Flávio Ramos · Genclerbirligi |
| 66' | ⚽ | Dario Melnjak · Rizespor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nill De Pauw · Rizespor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Genclerbirligi |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rahmetullah Berisbek · Genclerbirligi |
| 89' | 🟨 | Braian Samudio · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 77.00 | 350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1490.19 | 1546.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.81 | -22.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.50 | 66.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 26.43 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |