← Jupiler Pro League 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 70% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.79 |
| Waregem win | 12% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Waregem −1.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (og) | Ewoud Pletinckx · Anderlecht |
| 15' | ⚽ | Michel Vlap · Anderlecht |
| 22' | 🟨 | — · Waregem |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jérémy Doku · Anderlecht |
| 53' | 🟨 | Olivier Deschacht · Waregem |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Michel Vlap · Anderlecht |
| 67' | 🟨 | Dejan Joveljić · Anderlecht |
| 75' | ⚽ | Jérémy Doku · Anderlecht |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jérémy Doku · Anderlecht |
| 83' | ⚽ | Michel Vlap · Anderlecht |
| 86' | ⚽ | Nacer Chadli · |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 158.00 |
| 3019.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1616.88 | 1526.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.59 | -15.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 44.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.94 | 25.81 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.80 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |