← Jupiler Pro League 2019 · Sun, Feb 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Boucaut, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 63% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| AS Eupen win | 13% | 7.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| AS Eupen −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 15' | 🟥 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Michel Vlap · Anderlecht |
| 19' | 🟨 | Andreas Beck · AS Eupen |
| 25' | ⚽ | Marko Pjaca · Anderlecht |
| 35' | ⚽ | Vincent Kompany · Anderlecht |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jens Cools · AS Eupen |
| 52' | ⚽ | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 77' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jonathan Bolingi · AS Eupen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Zakaria Bakkali |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 145.00 |
| 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1584.08 | 1458.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.02 | 18.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 35.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 8.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.94 | — |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |