← Jupiler Pro League 2019 · Sun, Feb 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Standard win | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Genk −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Zinho Vanheusden · Standard |
| 34' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
| 37' | 🟨 | Gojko Cimirot · Standard |
| 42' | ⚽ | Duje Čop · Standard |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dries Wouters · Genk |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sébastien Dewaest · Genk |
| 84' | ⚽ | Sébastien Dewaest · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Boljević · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Luminus Arena |
| 107.00 |
| 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1672.29 | 1640.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.89 | -7.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 45.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.93 | 25.44 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |