← Jupiler Pro League 2019 · Sun, Feb 16, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Charleroi win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Charleroi −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Ivo Rodrigues · Antwerp |
| 32' | 🟨 | Sinan Bolat · Antwerp |
| 51' | ⚽ | Shamar Nicholson · Charleroi |
| 60' | 🟨 | Shamar Nicholson · Charleroi |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dorian Dessoleil · Charleroi |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ryota Morioka · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Mirallas · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| 960.00 |
| 2451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1651.14 | 1665.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.55 | 6.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 68.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 55.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 2.75 | 4.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |