← Jupiler Pro League 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Dierick, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 47% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| AS Eupen win | 26% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| St Truiden −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Mory Konate · St Truiden |
| 29' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
| 40' | ⚽ | Jens Cools · AS Eupen |
| 42' | ⚽ | — · St Truiden |
| 45' | ⚽ | — · St Truiden |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
| 53' | 🟨 | — · St Truiden |
| 63' | ⚽ | — · St Truiden |
| 65' | 🟨 | — · St Truiden |
| 65' | 🟥 | — · St Truiden |
| 68' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Sowah · AS Eupen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Yuma Suzuki · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days |
| venue | Stayen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Samy Mmaee · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Christopher Durkin · St Truiden |
| 38.00 |
| 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1516.07 | 1475.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.54 | 37.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 30.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 7.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |