← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Mar 6, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Chateauroux win | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Caen +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Caen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alexandre Raineau · Chateauroux |
| 38' | ⚽ | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 85' | 🟨 | Haissem Hassan · Chateauroux |
| 86' | 🟨 | Herman Moussaki · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cheick Diarra · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux) |
| coach days | 2348.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1408.04 | 1493.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.86 | 24.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 31.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 25.92 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |