← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Niort win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | François Bellugou · AJ Auxerre |
| 44' | ⚽ | Axel Ngando · AJ Auxerre |
| 46' | ⚽ | Eddy Sylvestre · AJ Auxerre |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Carlens Arcus · Niort |
| 75' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Niort |
| 78' | ⚽ | Aly Ndom · AJ Auxerre |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 85' | 🟨 | David Djigla · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps (Auxerre) |
| coach days | 242.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1430.67 | 1387.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.52 | 8.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| league points | 31.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 24.38 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |