← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Chateauroux win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Le Havre AC +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 13' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 15' | 🟨 | Umut Meraş · Le Havre AC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alexis Goncalves Pereira · Chateauroux |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Junior Dina Ebimbe · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux) |
| coach days | 2341.00 | 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1423.74 | 1519.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.27 | -32.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 24.80 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |