← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruddy Buquet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.87 |
| Grenoble win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble +0 | 46% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Brice Maubleu · Caen |
| 38' | 🟨 | Anthony Belmonte · Grenoble |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen) |
| coach days | 150.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1480.98 | 1471.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.05 | 15.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 66.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |