← Ligue 2 2019 · Sat, Feb 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Caen win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Caen −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Corentin Jean · Racing Club de Lens |
| 21' | 🟨 | Steven Fortes · Racing Club de Lens |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Malik Tchokounte · Caen |
| 23' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Racing Club de Lens |
| 24' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Caen |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Simon Banza · Racing Club de Lens |
| 58' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gillet · Racing Club de Lens |
| 72' | ⚽ | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Racing Club de Lens |
| 73' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Racing Club de Lens | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens) |
| Clément Michelin · Racing Club de Lens |
| 74' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Caen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
| coach days | 662.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1576.30 | 1455.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.72 | 4.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| league points | 50.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 4.76 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.62 | 26.26 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |