← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Orleans win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Le Havre AC −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Jean-Pascal Fontaine · Le Havre AC |
| 37' | ⚽ | Vincent Thill · Orleans |
| 42' | 🟨 | Vincent Thill · Orleans |
| 49' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 50' | 🟨 | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 53' | ⚽ | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 235.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1535.56 | 1356.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.18 | -28.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.51 |
| league points | 44.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 27.22 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |