← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Le Mans FC win | 14% | 6.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Le Mans FC −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Cyrille Bayala · Ajaccio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Le Mans FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Le Mans FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade François Coty (Ajaccio) |
| coach days | 235.00 | 3887.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1482.39 | 1358.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.60 | -15.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 45.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.63 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |