← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Gael Angoula, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Sochaux win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Sochaux |
| 62' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 67' | 🟨 | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Guingamp |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lebogang Phiri · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp) |
| coach days | 235.00 | 447.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1525.05 | 1428.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.99 | -22.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| league points | 38.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 23.44 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |