← Ligue 2 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cedric Dos Santos, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Guingamp win | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Guingamp +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 24' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dorian Bertrand · Nancy |
| 56' | ⚽ | Ronny Rodelin · Guingamp |
| 72' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Nancy |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lebogang Phiri · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot (Tomblaine) |
| coach days | 229.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1480.82 | 1514.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.74 | 0.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 27.91 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |