← Ligue 2 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Clermont win | 18% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient −0.5 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Clermont −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Julio Donisa · Clermont |
| 33' | 🟨 | Yohann Magnin · Clermont |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · FC Lorient |
| 54' | 🟨 | Julien Laporte · FC Lorient |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 74' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 74' | 🟥 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 76' | ⚽ | Mario González · Clermont |
| 84' | 🟨 | Florent Ogier · Clermont |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 86' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrian Grbić · Clermont |
| coach days | 290.00 | 2785.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1574.87 | 1553.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.56 | 28.67 |
| eye test v1 | 1.40 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| league points | 51.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |