← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Sochaux win | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Sochaux +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Sofiane Diop · Sochaux |
| 11' | ⚽ | Abdoulaye Sane · Sochaux |
| 15' | 🟨 | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Salem M'Bakata · Sochaux |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 69' | ⚽ | Noah Diliberto · Valenciennes |
| 70' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 80' | ⚽ | Malek Chergui · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes) |
| coach days | 258.00 | 440.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1459.68 | 1436.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.50 | -16.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.62 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.98 | 24.85 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |