← Ligue 2 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benoit Millot, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Guingamp win | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| FC Lorient +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 37' | ⚽ | Bryan Pelé · Guingamp |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jérémy Sorbon · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp) |
| coach days | 222.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1503.66 | 1585.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.92 | 12.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 32.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 26.92 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |