← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Nancy win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Nancy +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 38' | 🟨 | Nassim Ouammou · Rodez |
| 42' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Nancy |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vincent Muratori · Nancy |
| 63' | 🟨 | David Douline · Rodez |
| 78' | 🟨 | Loris Néry · Nancy |
| 87' | ⚽ | Pape Sane · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez) |
| coach days | 1682.00 | 221.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1443.97 | 1480.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.47 | -3.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -1.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 26.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 27.68 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |