← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Chambly Thelle FC win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chambly Thelle FC +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.46 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Axel Bamba · Paris FC |
| 30' | 🟨 | Aniss El Hriti · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | John Popelard · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Lassana Doucoure · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Guillaume Dequaire · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Jérémy Ménez · Paris FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Paris FC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Vincent Koziello · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chambly Thelle FC | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris) |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | — | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1476.03 | 1425.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.87 | -35.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 30.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |