← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Niort win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Niort +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Arial Mendy · Orleans |
| 32' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 34' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 74' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 83' | ⚽ | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard (Niort) |
| coach days | 37.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 4.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1371.96 | 1385.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.71 | 4.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.30 | 26.72 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |