← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Caen win | 25% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Caen −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Yoël Armougom · Caen |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 52' | 🟥 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Loïc Badé · Le Havre AC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | 🟥 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | ⚽ | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 221.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1550.81 | 1468.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.88 | 0.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| league points | 43.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.73 | 26.90 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |