← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Gael Angoula, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| AJ Auxerre win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Hamza Sakhi · AJ Auxerre |
| 11' | ⚽ | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 18' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · AJ Auxerre |
| 31' | ⚽ (og) | Alexandre Coeff · Ajaccio |
| 34' | ⚽ | Hamza Sakhi · AJ Auxerre |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 71' | 🟨 | Kenji Van Boto · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty (Ajaccio) |
| coach days | 221.00 | 221.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1479.57 | 1433.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.05 | 14.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 42.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 27.86 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.36 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |