← Ligue 2 2019 · Tue, Feb 4, 08:05 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.98 |
| Paris FC win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Jérémy Ménez · Paris FC |
| 12' | 🟨 | Samuel Yohou · Paris FC |
| 24' | ⚽ | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 26' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jérémy Ménez · Paris FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ablie Jallow · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris) |
| coach days | 34.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1436.57 | 1468.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.88 | 0.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 21.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |