← Ligue 2 2019 · Tue, Feb 4, 08:05 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Valenciennes win | 31% | 3.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 62' | 🟥 | Jérôme Prior · Valenciennes |
| 67' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 81' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Noah Diliberto · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes) |
| coach days | 248.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1469.90 | 1502.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.44 | -2.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.65 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.58 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.28 | 27.29 |
| state index | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |