← Ligue 2 2019 · Tue, Feb 4, 08:05 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Leonard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 |
| Le Mans FC win | 11% | 9.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| FC Lorient −1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Vincent Le Goff · FC Lorient |
| 37' | 🟨 | Yanis Merdji · Le Mans FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Vincent Crehin · Le Mans FC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Aboubakary Kanté · Le Mans FC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Armand Laurienté · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Vincent Le Goff · FC Lorient |
| 84' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Le Mans FC |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Sylvain Marveaux · FC Lorient |
| 89' | ⚽ (og) | Thomas Fontaine · Le Mans FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yann Kitala · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient) |
| coach days | 279.00 | 3870.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1580.27 | 1369.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.07 | 19.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 48.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 4.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 26.57 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |