← Ligue 2 2019 · Tue, Feb 4, 08:05 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Niort win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Caen −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Thibaut Vion · Niort |
| 35' | 🟨 | Matthieu Sans · Niort |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 50' | ⚽ | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 54' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 61' | ⚽ | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 72' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 74' | 🟨 | Brahima Doukansy · Niort |
| 78' | 🟥 | Brahima Doukansy · Niort |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen) |
| coach days | 126.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1462.92 | 1378.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.00 | -15.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.31 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 24.61 |
| state index | -0.29 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |